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UAE Central Bank Raises Base Rate to 3.90% After Fed's

UAE Central Bank Raises Base Rate to 3.90% After Fed's

The Central Bank of the UAE lifted the Base Rate on its Overnight Deposit Facility by 25 basis points to 3.90%, mirroring a Federal Reserve increase the Fed's own September 16 statement confirms was approved 12-0 - a mechanical pass-through of the dirham's dollar peg.

The Central Bank of the UAE raised its Base Rate 25 basis points to 3.90%, up from 3.65%, after the Federal Reserve lifted its federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% - the Fed's first increase since 2023. The UAE dirham's dollar peg forces CBUAE to mirror Fed moves automatically, regardless of domestic conditions.

The Gulf Tape Desk · 3 min read

The Central Bank of the UAE raised the Base Rate applicable to its Overnight Deposit Facility by 25 basis points to 3.90% - up from 3.65% - on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, matching the US Federal Reserve's own quarter-point increase announced the same day, according to Economy Middle East's report on the CBUAE move. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 12-0 to lift the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4.00%, its first increase since 2023, per the Federal Reserve's own September 16 statement. Because the dirham is pegged to the dollar, the UAE move followed automatically rather than as an independent policy judgment.

A Unanimous Fed, and a Median Dot Pointing Higher

The FOMC's 25-basis-point increase was approved by a 12-0 vote, with no members dissenting, the Federal Reserve's September 16 statement shows. The move lifts the target range to 3.75%-4.00%, the first change in that direction since 2023. The Fed's own Summary of Economic Projections, released the same day, puts the median year-end-2026 federal funds rate at 4.1% - about a quarter point above the new range's 3.875% midpoint - suggesting the committee's central tendency still points toward at least one more increase this year, though the Fed did not publish a breakdown of how individual officials expect that path to unfold.

A Peg, Not a Policy Choice

CBUAE's Base Rate is anchored to the Federal Reserve's own policy rate and applies to the central bank's Overnight Deposit Facility, providing a floor for UAE overnight money-market rates, per Economy Middle East's report on Wednesday's move. With the UAE dirham's dollar peg intact, CBUAE has no independent lever on the policy rate: Fed moves pass through within the same day, regardless of domestic UAE inflation or credit conditions. CBUAE's own release on the increase could not be independently retrieved for this analysis; the rate figures above are sourced to Economy Middle East's reporting on that release.

What It Means for Gulf Borrowers

A higher Base Rate lifts the floor under EIBOR-linked lending rates across the UAE, a mechanical tailwind for listed banks' net interest margins on the ADX and DFM but a higher hurdle for corporate borrowers and IPO candidates weighing leverage. The Fed's median dot sitting above the new range's midpoint raises the odds CBUAE has at least one more mirrored increase ahead in 2026. No independently verified same-day ADX or DFM price reaction to the September 16 decision was available at filing; this desk found no primary exchange data confirming a market move and is not asserting one.

Why did the UAE central bank raise rates right after the Fed?
Because the dirham is pegged to the US dollar, CBUAE mechanically mirrors Fed policy changes; it raised its Base Rate 25 basis points to 3.90% the same day the Fed lifted its own target range, according to Economy Middle East's report on the CBUAE move.
What exactly did the Fed decide?
The FOMC voted 12-0 to raise the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, its first increase since 2023, per the Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026 statement.
Does the Fed expect more hikes this year?
The Fed's own September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections puts the median year-end federal funds rate at 4.1%, above the new range's 3.875% midpoint - consistent with at least one further quarter-point move, though the Fed did not publish a breakdown of how individual officials voted on the future path.
Does this raise borrowing costs in the Gulf?
A higher Base Rate lifts the floor under EIBOR-linked UAE lending rates, a mechanical tailwind for bank net interest margins but a higher hurdle for corporate borrowers; no independently verified same-day ADX or DFM price reaction was confirmed at filing.
  1. UAE central bank raises Base Rate to 3.90 percent following Fed's first hike since 2023 — Economy Middle East
  2. CBUAE Raises the Base Rate by 25 Basis Points — Central Bank of the UAE
  3. Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement, September 16, 2026 — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  4. Summary of Economic Projections, September 16, 2026 — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System